trid

troid's ledger

troid-shadow-1

The shadow account. Every closed trade, unedited, losers included. It places nothing — a human would.

as of 2026-09-23 08:00 UTC · BINANCE:BTCUSDT 4h · 1step rules · cross 5x · replayed every 4h, 20 min after the bar

last bar
2026-09-23 08:00
UTC · close 85,666
balance
$101,299
realized
room
$4,000
binding · daily limit
to floor
$7,299
daily $4,000
position
flat
no direction, price or stop is published

Runs · last 7 days · 8

run (UTC)barbalanceclosedposition
2026-09-23 13:422026-09-23 08:00101,2990flat
2026-09-23 04:512026-09-23 00:00101,2990flat
2026-09-23 00:402026-09-22 20:00101,2990flat
2026-09-22 23:002026-09-22 16:00101,2990flat
2026-09-22 17:022026-09-22 12:00101,2990flat
2026-09-22 09:212026-09-22 04:00101,2990flat
2026-09-22 04:222026-09-22 00:00101,2990flat
2026-09-22 03:582026-09-21 20:00101,2990flat
This strategy measures +0.033R per trade over 78 trades — a standard error of ~0.046R, a confidence interval that contains zero, and a result below what chance produces across the ~30 configurations searched (~+0.119R). It is published so you can watch a null result run forward, not because it works. The full tearsheet shows what noise looks like when all of it is shown. 0 of these trades were logged live; the rest were backfilled on 2026-09-21. 1 held through a forward-filled bar (a flat bar substituted for a feed gap), marked ⚑ below — flagged, not excluded.
Hypothetical performance

These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.

troid's own strategy shows no statistical edge. Out of sample, on 504 BTC trades from 1 January 2021 to 7 January 2026, which the parameters never saw, it measures +0.008R per trade, standard error 0.016R — a MEASURED figure, inside noise, and not a fact about the future.

Equity

$99,855start $100,000 · dashed$101,631
balance
$101,299
net
+1,299
trades
78
win
32%
exp
+0.033R
pf
1.29
max dd
$-1,058
to floor
$7,299
this week
2 trades · +0.81R
this month
12 trades · -0.32R
status
running

Last 40 trades

closedkindsidefillsbarsexitpnlR
2026-09-19reverselong 58tp3 +509.69 +1.01
2026-09-18pullbackshort 10stop -102.91 -0.20
2026-09-15reverselong 55stop +57.28 +0.11
2026-09-14pullbackshort 20stop -206.55 -0.41
2026-09-08reverseshort 46reset_flat_loser -92.89 -0.18
2026-09-07pullbacklong 13stop -102.82 -0.20
2026-09-06pullbacklong 28reset_flat_loser -27.13 -0.05
2026-08-31reverseshort 14reset_flat_loser -44.17 -0.09
2026-08-30pullbacklong 21stop -205.98 -0.41
2026-08-30reverseshort 513stop +62.28 +0.12
2026-08-28pullbacklong 47stop +49.76 +0.10
2026-08-26pullbacklong 13reset_flat_loser -60.95 -0.12
2026-08-19reverselong 514tp3 +596.64 +1.18
2026-08-17pullbackshort 20stop -207.77 -0.41
2026-08-13reverseshort 521tp3 +486.92 +0.97
2026-08-10pullbacklong 43stop -3.31 -0.01
2026-08-08reverseshort 15reset_flat_loser -23.66 -0.05
2026-08-07pullbacklong 312stop +33.46 +0.07
2026-08-03pullbackshort 33reset_flat_loser -233.43 -0.46
2026-08-02pullbackshort 11reset_flat_loser -15.12 -0.03
2026-07-29reverseshort 511stop +200.53 +0.40
2026-07-27pullbacklong 54stop +42.06 +0.08
2026-07-25reverseshort 16reset_flat_loser -8.52 -0.02
2026-07-24pullbacklong 11stop -102.33 -0.20
2026-07-17reverseshort 33reset_flat_loser -44.79 -0.09
2026-07-17pullbacklong 12stop -102.33 -0.20
2026-07-13pullbacklong 423reset_flat_loser -198.28 -0.39
2026-07-09reverseshort 27reset_flat_loser -63.69 -0.13
2026-07-08pullbacklong 14stop -102.28 -0.20
2026-07-06reverseshort 11stop -103.76 -0.20
2026-07-06pullbacklong 13stop -102.59 -0.20
2026-07-03reverselong 515tp3 +496.62 +0.98
2026-07-01pullbackshort 56stop +50.30 +0.10
2026-06-29reverselong 23reset_flat_loser -55.23 -0.11
2026-06-29pullbackshort 37stop +37.92 +0.08
2026-06-23reverselong 13stop -101.97 -0.20
2026-06-22pullbackshort 13stop -102.45 -0.20
2026-06-14pullbackshort 10stop -102.75 -0.20
2026-06-11pullbackshort 14reset_flat_loser -68.36 -0.14
2026-06-09reverselong 210reset_flat_loser -164.59 -0.32

Last 20 closed trades · drawn

Bars from 10 before entry to 5 after exit. Entry, initial stop and take-profits as the engine set them; the stop moves to average entry after TP1 and is not redrawn. Open position: not drawn.

Long · reverse · 9/18 04:00 → 9/19 12:00 UTC · entry 77,384 · stop 75,900 (1.92%) · sized $504 = 0.5% · daily limit binding, $3,897 room · 5 of 5 tranches · exit TP3 after 8 bars · +1.01R · fees 2.9% of risk

Short · pullback · 9/18 00:00 → 9/18 00:00 UTC · entry 76,424 · stop 77,549 (1.47%) · sized $504 = 0.5% · daily limit binding, $4,000 room · 1 of 5 tranches · exit stop after 0 bars · -0.20R · fees 1.0% of risk

Long · reverse · 9/14 04:00 → 9/15 00:00 UTC · entry 77,575 · stop 76,070 (1.94%) · sized $504 = 0.5% · daily limit binding, $3,793 room · 5 of 5 tranches · exit stop after 5 bars · +0.11R · fees 3.0% of risk

Short · pullback · 9/14 00:00 → 9/14 00:00 UTC · entry 76,869 · stop 77,752 (1.15%) · sized $505 = 0.5% · daily limit binding, $4,000 room · 2 of 5 tranches · exit stop after 0 bars · -0.41R · fees 2.3% of risk

Short · reverse · 9/7 16:00 → 9/8 16:00 UTC · entry 78,836 · stop 80,770 (2.45%) · sized $506 = 0.5% · daily limit binding, $4,000 room · 4 of 5 tranches · exit reset flatten after 6 bars · -0.18R · fees 2.1% of risk

Long · pullback · 9/7 00:00 → 9/7 12:00 UTC · entry 80,350 · stop 78,940 (1.75%) · sized $506 = 0.5% · daily limit binding, $4,000 room · 1 of 5 tranches · exit stop after 3 bars · -0.20R · fees 0.9% of risk

Long · pullback · 9/5 08:00 → 9/6 16:00 UTC · entry 79,684 · stop 78,216 (1.84%) · sized $506 = 0.5% · daily limit binding, $4,000 room · 2 of 5 tranches · exit reset flatten after 8 bars · -0.05R · fees 1.5% of risk

Short · reverse · 8/31 00:00 → 8/31 16:00 UTC · entry 77,697 · stop 79,792 (2.70%) · sized $507 = 0.5% · daily limit binding, $3,794 room · 1 of 5 tranches · exit reset flatten after 4 bars · -0.09R · fees 0.6% of risk

Long · pullback · 8/30 16:00 → 8/30 20:00 UTC · entry 78,845 · stop 77,511 (1.69%) · sized $508 = 0.5% · daily limit binding, $4,000 room · 2 of 5 tranches · exit stop after 1 bars · -0.41R · fees 1.6% of risk

Short · reverse · 8/28 08:00 → 8/30 12:00 UTC · entry 79,664 · stop 81,966 (2.89%) · sized $507 = 0.5% · daily limit binding, $4,055 room · 5 of 5 tranches · exit stop after 13 bars · +0.12R · fees 1.9% of risk

Long · pullback · 8/27 00:00 → 8/28 04:00 UTC · entry 78,980 · stop 77,073 (2.41%) · sized $507 = 0.5% · daily limit binding, $4,000 room · 4 of 5 tranches · exit stop after 7 bars · +0.10R · fees 1.9% of risk

Long · pullback · 8/26 04:00 → 8/26 16:00 UTC · entry 79,080 · stop 77,262 (2.30%) · sized $507 = 0.5% · daily limit binding, $4,000 room · 1 of 5 tranches · exit reset flatten after 3 bars · -0.12R · fees 0.7% of risk

Long · reverse · 8/17 04:00 → 8/19 12:00 UTC · entry 63,452 · stop 62,596 (1.35%) · sized $504 = 0.5% · daily limit binding, $3,792 room · 5 of 5 tranches · exit TP3 after 14 bars · +1.18R · fees 4.4% of risk

Short · pullback · 8/17 00:00 → 8/17 00:00 UTC · entry 62,905 · stop 63,486 (0.92%) · sized $505 = 0.5% · daily limit binding, $4,000 room · 2 of 5 tranches · exit stop after 0 bars · -0.41R · fees 2.9% of risk

Short · reverse · 8/10 04:00 → 8/13 16:00 UTC · entry 64,969 · stop 65,639 (1.03%) · sized $503 = 0.5% · daily limit binding, $4,007 room · 5 of 5 tranches · exit TP3 after 21 bars · +0.97R · fees 5.0% of risk

Long · pullback · 8/9 12:00 → 8/10 00:00 UTC · entry 64,944 · stop 64,564 (0.59%) · sized $503 = 0.5% · daily limit binding, $4,000 room · 4 of 5 tranches · exit stop after 3 bars · -0.01R · fees 6.6% of risk

Short · reverse · 8/7 20:00 → 8/8 16:00 UTC · entry 64,971 · stop 65,645 (1.04%) · sized $503 = 0.5% · daily limit binding, $3,991 room · 1 of 5 tranches · exit reset flatten after 5 bars · -0.05R · fees 1.4% of risk

Long · pullback · 8/5 16:00 → 8/7 16:00 UTC · entry 64,392 · stop 63,613 (1.21%) · sized $503 = 0.5% · daily limit binding, $4,000 room · 3 of 5 tranches · exit stop after 12 bars · +0.07R · fees 2.9% of risk

Short · pullback · 8/3 04:00 → 8/3 16:00 UTC · entry 62,859 · stop 64,042 (1.88%) · sized $504 = 0.5% · daily limit binding, $4,000 room · 3 of 5 tranches · exit reset flatten after 3 bars · -0.46R · fees 2.1% of risk

Short · pullback · 8/2 12:00 → 8/2 16:00 UTC · entry 63,040 · stop 63,863 (1.31%) · sized $504 = 0.5% · daily limit binding, $4,000 room · 1 of 5 tranches · exit reset flatten after 1 bars · -0.03R · fees 1.1% of risk

A week of trades is n≈2 with a standard error of ~0.26R. The weekly line above is a ledger entry, not a claim. Read it that way. · Bars from api.binance.us, one feed end to end; ⚑ marks a trade that held through a forward-filled bar. · journal.csv in the repo
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troid is a free informational tool, not financial or investment advice. troid does not place trades or publish trade signals. Its shadow account is a simulated strategy, shown only after trades close. Prop-firm rules change without notice — verify every number with the firm before trading. troid is an independent affiliate of the firms it compares and earns a commission on purchases through its links; this does not affect the calculations or comparisons. Crypto Fund Trader does not own or operate this website and is not responsible for its contents. It is owned by troid, an independent marketing affiliate.

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